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Syria U23 vs Hong Kong U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2022
Wed, Sep 20, 2023
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Syria U23 host Hong Kong U23 in the Asian Games 2022. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Syria U23 have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Hong Kong U23's 0.87 scored and 2.2 conceded. Head-to-head, Syria U23 have won 0 to Hong Kong U23's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.48 vs 0.60, favoring Syria U23. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Syria U23
15%
Draws
26%
Hong Kong U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Syria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Syria U23 lately — more wins on the board than Hong Kong U23.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Syria U23 taking it.
  • Regular Asian Games 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Syria U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Hong Kong U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Syria U23 Hong Kong U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.76 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 Asian Games
Syria U23 vs Hong Kong U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Syria U23 95 / 100
Hong Kong U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Syria U23 Hong Kong U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Syria U23 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Hong Kong U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Syria U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Hong Kong U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Syria U23 VS Hong Kong U23
2.13 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Syria U23

(Home)
13 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 1
Syria U23
10 Jan
Syria U23
1 : 0
Qatar U23
07 Jan
Japan U23
5 : 0
Syria U23
30 Dec
Syria U23
2 : 1
Vietnam U23
26 Dec
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Syria U23
Page 1 of 6

Hong Kong U23

(Away)
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0
Hong Kong U23
09 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 0
Guam U23
06 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 2
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 India U23 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Vietnam U23 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
3 Afghanistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Syria U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Palestine U23 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
3 Qatar U23 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Bahrain U23 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
3 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 2 1 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams