Sport Picks
Syria U23 vs Lebanon U23
Asia
WAFF Championship U23 Sultan Qaboos Sports Complex, Muscat 
Match Events
7'
7'
Zbib M.
9'
9'
El Fadl A.
33'
33'
Al Moussawi M. A. M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Syria U23 come out ahead of Lebanon U23 on wins alone.
- Lebanon U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Syria U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Syria U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Syria U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Syria U23 | Lebanon U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
0:4
Mar 19, 2025 WAFF Championship U23
Syria U23 vs Lebanon U23
3:2
Jun 6, 2023 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
1:3
Jun 3, 2023 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Syria U23
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Syria U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Dahhan H.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Lebanon U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Zbib M.
1 Goals Assists Leader El Fadl A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Syria U23 23 / 100
Lebanon U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Syria U23 Lebanon U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Syria U23 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Lebanon U23 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Syria U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Syria U23 VS Lebanon U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Syria U23
(Home) 13 Jan
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 1 Syria U23
10 Jan
Syria U23
1 : 0 Qatar U23
07 Jan
Japan U23
5 : 0 Syria U23
30 Dec
Syria U23
2 : 1 Vietnam U23
26 Dec
South Korea U23
1 : 0 Syria U23
Page 1 of 6
10 Jan
Syria U23
1 : 0 Qatar U23
30 Dec
Syria U23
2 : 1 Vietnam U23
03 Sept
Syria U23
2 : 1 Philippines U23
29 Aug
Syria U23
3 : 0 Sri Lanka U23
20 Jul
Syria U23
1 : 1 Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 2
Lebanon U23
(Away) 13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4 South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0 Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2 Thailand U23
Page 1 of 7
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
03 Sept
Malaysia U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
22 Mar
Kuwait U23
1 : 0 Lebanon U23
19 Mar
Syria U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Oman U23 1
Saudi Arabia U23 0
Bahrain U23 2
United Arab Emirates U23 1
Jordan U23 2
Kuwait U23 0
Syria U23 3
Lebanon U23 2
Semi-finals
Oman U23 2
Bahrain U23 0
Jordan U23 1
Syria U23 0
Final
Oman U23 3
Jordan U23 1
Bahrain U23 0
Syria U23 1
