Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022

Sri Lanka U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Syria U23 play Sri Lanka U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2022. Syria U23 are favorites here. Recently, Syria U23 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Sri Lanka U23 averaged 0.17 goals scored and 3.94 conceded. In past meetings, Syria U23 won 2, Sri Lanka U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 29, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.02 for Syria U23 and 0.47 for Sri Lanka U23. This points to a Syria U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%

Syria U23

15%

Draws

11%

Sri Lanka U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Syria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Syria U23 picked up more points recently compared to Sri Lanka U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.02 vs 0.47 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Syria U23 Clean Sheet 31%

Sri Lanka U23 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Syria U23	Sri Lanka U23
Matches Played	30	18
Wins	16	0
Draws	4	3
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.8	0.17
Goals Conceded	1.1	3.94
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	3.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2025 Friendly International

Syria U23 vs Sri Lanka U23

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Oct 25, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23

Syria U23 vs Sri Lanka U23

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Syria U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bashmani A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Malta M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Sri Lanka U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.18

Avg xA / game 0.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Syria U23 73 / 100

Sri Lanka U23 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Syria U23 Sri Lanka U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Syria U23 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.5%

1.52

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Syria U23 attacking → ← attacking Sri Lanka U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Syria U23 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sri Lanka U23 let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Syria U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sri Lanka U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 3

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.20

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.80

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar U23	3	2	1	0	9:1	7
2	Syria U23	3	1	2	0	6:1	5
3	Yemen U23	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Sri Lanka U23	3	0	0	3	0:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran U23	3	3	0	9:2	9
2	Tajikistan U23	3	2	1	9:3	6
3	Lebanon U23	3	1	2	4:3	3
4	Nepal U23	3	0	3	0:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U23	2	2	0	7:0	6
2	Bahrain U23	2	1	1	3:3	3
3	Maldives U23	2	0	2	0:7	0
4	Afghanistan U23	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kuwait U23	2	2	0	3:1	6
2	Saudi Arabia U23	2	1	1	4:2	3
3	Bangladesh U23	2	0	2	0:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U23	3	2	0	1	4:2	6
2	India U23	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	Kyrgyzstan U23	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Oman U23	3	1	0	2	2:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U23	2	1	1	0	2:1	4
2	Turkmenistan U23	2	1	0	1	3:2	3
3	Palestine U23	2	0	1	1	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U23	2	2	0	4:2	6
2	Indonesia U23	2	0	2	2:4	0
3	China U23	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Brunei U23	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U23	3	3	0	0	14:1	9
2	Singapore U23	3	1	1	1	4:7	4
3	Timor-Leste U23	3	1	1	1	3:8	4
4	Philippines U23	3	0	0	3	0:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U23	2	2	0	2:0	6
2	Myanmar U23	2	1	1	1:1	3
3	Chinese Taipei U23	2	0	2	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malaysia U23	3	2	1	0	2:0	7
2	Thailand U23	3	1	2	0	4:1	5
3	Laos U23	3	1	0	2	3:6	3
4	Mongolia U23	3	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U23	2	2	0	8:0	6
2	Cambodia U23	2	1	1	4:6	3
3	Hong Kong U23	2	0	2	2:8	0