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Stadium Background

Syria vs Afghanistan

Asia Asia

Asian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Al Salkhadi M.
23' Event
Panahi A.
Assist: Mahbobi N.
46'
Sub
Aref S. In: Samandari S.
Out: Aref S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Syria
30%
Draws
31%
Afghanistan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Syria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Syria come out ahead of Afghanistan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Syria a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Syria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Syria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Syria have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Syria Clean Sheet 68%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Syria Afghanistan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.71 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Syria vs Afghanistan
5:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Afghanistan vs Syria
0:1
Oct 13, 2015 World Championship
Syria vs Afghanistan
5:2
Jun 11, 2015 World Championship
Afghanistan vs Syria
0:6
Oct 26, 2007 World Championship
Afghanistan vs Syria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Syria Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mustafa M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Salkhadi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Afghanistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Panahi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Syria 95 / 100
Afghanistan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Syria Afghanistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Syria found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Afghanistan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Syria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Syria VS Afghanistan
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Syria

(Home)
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
11 Dec
Morocco
1 : 0
Syria
07 Dec
Syria
0 : 0
Palestine
04 Dec
Syria
1 : 1
Qatar
Page 1 of 6

Afghanistan

(Away)
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)