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Syria vs Qatar

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Syria Logo

Syria

1 - 1
FT
Qatar Logo

Qatar

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Al Shami A. In: Kourdoghli K.
Out: Al Shami A.
63'
Sub
Yakoub A. In: Al Aswad M.
Out: Yakoub A.
64'
Sub
Al Hallaq M. In: Al Salkhadi M.
Out: Al Hallaq M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Syria
35%
Draws
19%
Qatar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Syria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar haven't matched Syria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Syria a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Syria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Syria, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Syria Clean Sheet 68%
Qatar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Syria Qatar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Syria vs Qatar
1:1
Mar 24, 2018 Friendly International
Qatar vs Syria
2:2
Aug 31, 2017 World Championship
Syria vs Qatar
3:1
Oct 11, 2016 World Championship
Qatar vs Syria
1:0
Sep 5, 2011 Friendly International
Qatar vs Syria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Syria Compare

Top Goalscorer Khribin O. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Qatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaaeldin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Syria 95 / 100
Qatar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Syria Qatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Syria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qatar conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Syria scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Syria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Syria VS Qatar
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Syria

(Home)
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
11 Dec
Morocco
1 : 0
Syria
07 Dec
Syria
0 : 0
Palestine
04 Dec
Syria
1 : 1
Qatar
Page 1 of 6

Qatar

(Away)
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1
Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)