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Syrianska vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Syrianska play Orebro in the Svenska Cupen 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Syrianska averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. Orebro averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Syrianska won 2, Orebro won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 9, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Syrianska and 1.63 for Orebro. This points to a Orebro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Syrianska
23%
Draws
40%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Orebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Syrianska picked up more points recently compared to Orebro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Syrianska Clean Sheet 14%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Syrianska Orebro
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Syrianska vs Orebro
0:2
Sep 22, 2012 Allsvenskan
Syrianska vs Orebro
2:2
May 20, 2012 Allsvenskan
Orebro vs Syrianska
0:1
Mar 17, 2012 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Syrianska
3:1
Sep 21, 2011 Allsvenskan
Syrianska vs Orebro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Syrianska Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dana H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Syrianska 36 / 100
Orebro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Syrianska Orebro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orebro or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Syrianska attacking → ← attacking Orebro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Syrianska scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Orebro let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Syrianska went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Orebro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 39
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75