Sport Picks

Hungary

Hungarian Cup

Erdi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Szepetnek play Erdi in the Hungarian Cup. Erdi are favorites here. Recently, Szepetnek averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. Erdi averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Szepetnek won 0, Erdi won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 2, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Szepetnek and 1.55 for Erdi. This points to a Erdi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Szepetnek

18%

Draws

71%

Erdi

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Szepetnek picked up more points recently compared to Erdi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Szepetnek Clean Sheet 15%

Erdi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Szepetnek	Erdi
Matches Played	4	32
Wins	0	18
Draws	0	6
Losses	4	8
Goals Scored	0.5	1.78
Goals Conceded	2.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Hungarian Cup

Szepetnek vs Erdi

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

0:5

Aug 5, 2023 Hungarian Cup

Szepetnek vs Erdi

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Szepetnek 13 / 100

Erdi 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Szepetnek Erdi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (2)

Secondary Pick Erdi & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +266.6%

33.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Szepetnek attacking → ← attacking Erdi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Szepetnek scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Erdi let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Szepetnek went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Erdi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 60

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00