Sport Picks
Tabasalu vs Arukula Vigri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 11-1, with Tabasalu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tabasalu come out ahead of Arukula Vigri on wins alone.
- Tabasalu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Tabasalu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tabasalu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 15%
Arukula Vigri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tabasalu | Arukula Vigri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 8 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 5.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2021 Estonian Cup
Tabasalu vs Arukula Vigri
11:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tabasalu 84 / 100
Arukula Vigri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tabasalu Arukula Vigri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tabasalu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arukula Vigri let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.
These sides typically produce 12.00 goals when they meet.
Tabasalu found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Away concern: Arukula Vigri has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tabasalu VS Arukula Vigri
2.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tabasalu
(Home) 19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1 Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2 Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0 Tabasalu
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1 Legion
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2 Tammeka Tartu U21
20 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 2 Johvi Phoenix
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
22 Jul
Tabasalu
0 : 2 Tamper
Page 1 of 3
Arukula Vigri
(Away) 22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1 Raasiku Joker
30 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 4 Kristiine
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0 Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1 Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
Page 1 of 2
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0 Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1 Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
08 Jul
Parnu
9 : 0 Arukula Vigri
25 Jul
Tabasalu
11 : 1 Arukula Vigri
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Viimsi Lovid 0
Flora U19 3
Rumori Calcio II 1
FCP Parnu 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Valga Warrior -
FCT Titans -
Kristiine 5
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kose 0
Maksatransport 2
Raplamaa 15
Wolfram 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Kadakas 3
TransferWise 4
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tabasalu II -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 5
Kusti 4
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Elva 3
Helm 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 5
Viimsi JK 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
TBD -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 4
FC Alliance U21 2
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
FC Hell Hunt 0
TBD -
Parnu Sadam -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Karskem Karsklus -
Narva -
HF Beer -
FC Alliance 10
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Helios -
TBD -
Rakvere 3
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Kohvile 7
Young FC 4
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
Tartu Kalev -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 11
Aksi Wolves 1
Nomme Utd -
Jogeva -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Imavere Forss 5
Tulevik 26
Lelle 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Hiiumaa 1
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kalju -
TBD -
Mulgi 3
JK 32. keskkool 1
EstHam United -
TBD -
Eston Villa II -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Teleios 0
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu -
TBD -
Legion U21 5
Annelinna Ajax 2
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
1/32-finals
Flora U19 12
FCP Parnu 0
TBD -
Flora -
Zenit Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Valga Warrior 1
Kristiine 4
Maksatransport 1
Raplamaa 3
TBD -
Levadia -
TransferWise 2
Tallinna Kalev 9
Tabasalu II 6
Jarva-Jaani 0
Rumori Calcio 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 7
Legion 21
Soccernet 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Viimsi JK -
ReUnited -
Loo JK 2
FC Tallinn 3
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FCI Tallinn 8
Parnu Sadam 1
Flora Tallinn U21 24
Karskem Karsklus 0
Narva 5
FC Alliance 0
Maardu Aliens 2
Eston Villa 3
Helios 3
Rakvere 1
Kohvile 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Saku Sporting 0
Tammeka Tartu 9
JK Poseidon 0
Kuressaare 9
Tartu Kalev 10
Laanemaa Haapsalu II 0
Nomme Utd -
Imavere Forss -
Tulevik -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tulevik U21 4
Ganvix Turi 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kalju 32
Mulgi 0
EstHam United 0
FC Ararat 6
Vastseliina Tannem -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Parnu 2
Legion U21 0
Tabasalu 11
Arukula Vigri 1
1/16-finals
Flora U19 0
Flora 14
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
Kristiine 0
Raplamaa 0
Levadia 5
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tabasalu II 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Legion 8
Elva 2
Viimsi JK 0
FC Tallinn 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
FCI Tallinn 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva 3
Eston Villa 0
Helios 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tammeka Tartu 3
Kuressaare 1
Tartu Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 2
Tulevik 10
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Kalju 9
FC Ararat 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Parnu 0
Tabasalu 1
1/8-finals
Flora -
Paide Linnameeskond III -
Levadia 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Legion -
Elva -
Paide Linnameeskond 14
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Narva 3
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tartu Kalev 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 3
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tabasalu -
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Levadia 0
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Narva 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Kalju 7
Tabasalu 0
Semi-finals
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Narva 0
Kalju 1
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 0
