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Tabasalu vs FC Alliance Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stuff K.
11'
Sub
Torinava I. In: Butenko A.
Out: Torinava I.
23' Event
Stuff K.

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu in this Esiliiga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tabasalu
20%
Draws
40%
FC Alliance
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Alliance haven't matched Tabasalu's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 13%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu FC Alliance
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.94 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.52 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Tabasalu
4:2
Jul 22, 2023 Esiliiga
Tabasalu vs FC Alliance
7:4
May 25, 2023 Esiliiga
Tabasalu vs FC Alliance
5:2
Apr 15, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Tabasalu
2:5
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Tabasalu vs FC Alliance
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuff K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Poder J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wadjonre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 35 / 100
FC Alliance 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu FC Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Alliance Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alliance let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.40 goals when they meet.

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

FC Alliance's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 7

FC Alliance

(Away)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)