Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Kuressaare U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Tabasalu Arena, Tabasalu
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Match Events

3' Event
Opp M.
42'
Vapper K.
44'
Anepaio A.

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare U21 in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kuressaare U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
0%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Kuressaare U21 haven't matched Tabasalu's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 13%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Tabasalu
0:5
Aug 21, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Kuressaare U21
0:2
May 29, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Kuressaare U21
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Tabasalu
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Opp M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lohmus R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 35 / 100
Kuressaare U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kuressaare U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
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Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)