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Tabasalu vs Raplamaa

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Esiliiga B 2022
Tabasalu Logo

Tabasalu

7 - 1
FT
Raplamaa Logo

Raplamaa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2022 game between Tabasalu and Raplamaa finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
0%
Raplamaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tabasalu come out ahead of Raplamaa on wins alone.
  • Tabasalu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • Tabasalu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 13%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Raplamaa
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 18 28
Goals Scored 2.17 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.87
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Raplamaa
7:1
Sep 4, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tabasalu
1:5
Jun 30, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tabasalu
0:2
Mar 6, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Raplamaa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 84 / 100
Raplamaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Raplamaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabasalu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (40 games).

Defensive concern: Raplamaa conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Raplamaa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Raplamaa
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 12
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
09 Aug
Levadia U19
3 : 0
Tabasalu
01 Aug
Tartu Kalev
3 : 1
Tabasalu
22 Jul
Tabasalu
0 : 2
Tamper
18 Jul
Legion
2 : 0
Tabasalu
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Raplamaa

(Away)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1
Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tallinn 36 24 9 3 117:38 81
2 Tabasalu 36 25 4 7 120:50 79
3 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 20 8 8 88:48 68
4 Tartu JK Welco 36 17 10 9 68:47 61
5 Tammeka Tartu II 36 16 8 12 70:59 56
6 Legion U21 36 13 4 19 60:86 43
7 Tartu Kalev 36 11 7 18 55:81 40
8 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 10 7 19 49:84 37
9 Kalju U21 36 10 4 22 54:100 34
10 Raplamaa 36 2 3 31 33:121 9
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2022 (Relegation)