Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Lehtmaa H.
89' Event
Lindemann R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
51%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tabasalu have won more games recently than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.71 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu
4:1
Aug 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:1
Jun 13, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:1
May 2, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu
2:3
Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindemann R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmaa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 14 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tabasalu scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Tallinna Kalev U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Tallinna Kalev U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 29 19 3 7 69:35 60
2 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
3 Levadia U19 29 17 2 10 74:52 53
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 29 15 4 10 74:59 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
7 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 29 3 3 23 25:111 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)