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Tabasalu W vs Elva W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Tabasalu Arena, Tabasalu
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Manniste L.
7' Event
Hudsi K.
16' Event
Hudsi K.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Tabasalu W and Elva W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elva W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Tabasalu W
15%
Draws
12%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tabasalu W come out ahead of Elva W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tabasalu W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tabasalu W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tabasalu W Clean Sheet 20%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu W Elva W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 16 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Elva W
1:5
Aug 20, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tabasalu W
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Elva W
2:0
May 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tabasalu W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silina E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudsi K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Manniste L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu W 85 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabasalu W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Elva W let in goals in 100% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Elva W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elva W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu W

(Home)
15 Nov
Tabasalu W
1 : 5
Elva W
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
05 Nov
Tabasalu W
3 : 4
Saku Sporting W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
15 Oct
Viimsi JK W
2 : 1
Tabasalu W
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Elva W

(Away)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)