Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabor Sezana vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stadion Rajko Štolfa, Sežana
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Marosa A.
36' Event
Marosa A.

AI Match Summary

Nafta in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tabor Sezana
17%
Draws
13%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tabor Sezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nafta lately — more wins on the board than Tabor Sezana.
  • Win probability leans Tabor Sezana's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tabor Sezana Clean Sheet 68%
Nafta Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabor Sezana Nafta
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 16 22
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 2. SNL
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Tabor Sezana
3:1
Mar 22, 2024 2. SNL
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
0:4
Sep 9, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Tabor Sezana
0:0
May 15, 2019 2. SNL
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabor Sezana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marosa A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabor Sezana 77 / 100
Nafta 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabor Sezana Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabor Sezana found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Nafta conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Nafta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabor Sezana VS Nafta
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabor Sezana

(Home)
10 Jul
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Tabor Sezana
23 May
Tabor Sezana
2 : 0
Rudar
17 May
Slovan Ljubljana
5 : 1
Tabor Sezana
10 May
Tabor Sezana
0 : 1
Triglav
06 May
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Tabor Sezana
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Nafta

(Away)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)