Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabor Sezana vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stadion Rajko Štolfa, Sežana
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Marosa A.
36' Event
Marosa A.

AI Match Summary

Nafta in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tabor Sezana
15%
Draws
32%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabor Sezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tabor Sezana lately — more wins on the board than Nafta.
  • Win probability leans Tabor Sezana's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tabor Sezana Clean Sheet 68%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabor Sezana Nafta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 2. SNL
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Tabor Sezana
3:1
Mar 22, 2024 2. SNL
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
0:4
Sep 9, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Tabor Sezana
0:0
May 15, 2019 2. SNL
Tabor Sezana vs Nafta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabor Sezana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marosa A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabor Sezana 77 / 100
Nafta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabor Sezana Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabor Sezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabor Sezana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nafta conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tabor Sezana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabor Sezana VS Nafta
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabor Sezana

(Home)
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
19 Sept
Beltinci
5 : 1
Tabor Sezana
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
04 Sept
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
Tabor Sezana
28 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
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Nafta

(Away)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)