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Tacna Heroica vs Comerciantes FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Lemos M.
44' Event
Inga J.
50'
Sub
Guerrero Fonseca R. M. In: Flores L.
Out: Guerrero Fonseca R. M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tacna Heroica
20%
Draws
38%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tacna Heroica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacna Heroica average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Comerciantes FC's 1.
  • Tacna Heroica are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 20%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacna Heroica Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Comerciantes FC
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Comerciantes FC
2:1
May 18, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Tacna Heroica
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacna Heroica Compare

Top Goalscorer Inga J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Comerciantes FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacna Heroica 42 / 100
Comerciantes FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacna Heroica Comerciantes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacna Heroica scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Comerciantes FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Tacna Heroica remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacna Heroica VS Comerciantes FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126