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Tacna Heroica vs Union Minas

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Jorge Basadre
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacna Heroica host Union Minas in the Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Tacna Heroica have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Union Minas's 0.5 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Tacna Heroica slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.94, favoring Tacna Heroica. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tacna Heroica
33%
Draws
27%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tacna Heroica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacna Heroica have won more games recently than Union Minas.
  • Model gives Tacna Heroica a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 20%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacna Heroica Union Minas
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Tacna Heroica
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacna Heroica 40 / 100
Union Minas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacna Heroica Union Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacna Heroica scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Union Minas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Union Minas let in goals in 41% of their last 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tacna Heroica VS Union Minas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126