Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tacna Heroica vs Union Minas

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Jorge Basadre, Tacna
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Pereira G.
25' Event
Loayza G.
37'
Trujillo L.

AI Match Summary

Tacna Heroica in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tacna Heroica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tacna Heroica
35%
Draws
38%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Tacna Heroica have won more games recently than Union Minas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 10%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacna Heroica Union Minas
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Union Minas
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Tacna Heroica
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacna Heroica Compare

Top Goalscorer Loayza G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Union Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacna Heroica 34 / 100
Union Minas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacna Heroica Union Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacna Heroica scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Tacna Heroica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Union Minas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacna Heroica VS Union Minas
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacna Heroica

(Home)
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
16 Aug
Tacna Heroica
1 : 0
Sport Huancayo 2
09 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

Union Minas

(Away)
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1
Ayacucho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)