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Tacuarembo vs Colon

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Lopez P.
35' Event
Moreira J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Tacuarembo and Colon finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacuarembo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Tacuarembo
17%
Draws
70%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Colon has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tacuarembo.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Colon.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda Division provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 23%
Colon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Colon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Colon
2:0
Aug 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Colon
2:2
May 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Tacuarembo
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Colon
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Tacuarembo
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Colon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 16 / 100
Colon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Colon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Colon let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tacuarembo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Colon lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Colon
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1053215:1318
3River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
4Colon1043310:915
5Rentistas1042411:1314
6Tacuarembo104248:1014
7Fenix1034314:1213
8Miramar1034314:1213
9La Luz103438:813
10Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
11Club Oriental De Futbol1026215:1312
12Huracan FC103348:1212
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1022610:158