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Tacuary vs Guairena FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Franco Almada J. M.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Tacuary and Guairena FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacuary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tacuary
30%
Draws
12%
Guairena FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tacuary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Guairena FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Tacuary taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guairena FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tacuary Clean Sheet 68%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuary Guairena FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Guairena FC
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Tacuary
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Guairena FC
0:1
May 26, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Tacuary
1:0
Oct 18, 2023 Copa de Primera
Tacuary vs Guairena FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuary Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco Almada J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guairena FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuary 95 / 100
Guairena FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuary Guairena FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacuary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tacuary scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Guairena FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Tacuary remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacuary VS Guairena FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuary

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Tembetary
3 : 2
Tacuary
26 Sept
Tacuary
2 : 1
Benjamin Aceval
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Tacuary
1 : 2
12 de Junio
09 Sept
Encarnacion FC
1 : 1
Tacuary
Page 1 of 6

Guairena FC

(Away)
06 Oct
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0
Guairena FC
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 3
General Caballero JLM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 27 17 3 7 46:25 54
2 General Caballero JLM 27 16 5 6 54:33 53
3 12 de Junio 27 14 8 5 36:27 50
4 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
5 Sol de America 27 9 14 4 33:25 41
6 Independiente FBC 27 10 10 7 40:35 40
7 Sportivo Carapegua 27 11 6 10 32:39 39
8 Paraguari AC 27 11 5 11 36:35 38
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 27 9 7 11 30:37 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 27 6 7 14 22:36 25
15 Tacuary 27 4 12 11 30:43 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)