Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tadamon vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Khalfallah H.
49'
Matar N.
59' Event
Malick Tall E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Tadamon and Al Ansar finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tadamon
30%
Draws
43%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Tadamon haven't matched Al Ansar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Ansar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ansar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tadamon Al Ansar
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 6 23
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.87 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ansar
0:3
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Tadamon
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Tadamon
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Tadamon
3:0
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Ansar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tadamon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Malick Tall E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khalfallah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tadamon 10 / 100
Al Ansar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tadamon Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tadamon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tadamon scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Al Ansar has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tadamon VS Al Ansar
0.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tadamon

(Home)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

Al Ansar

(Away)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)