Sport Picks
Taffs Well vs Bryntirion Athletic
Wales
League Cup 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Bryntirion Athletic in this League Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bryntirion Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Taffs Well.
- Model gives Bryntirion Athletic a 35% chance of winning this.
- Bryntirion Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bryntirion Athletic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 13%
Bryntirion Athletic Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Taffs Well | Bryntirion Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 23 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.58 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2013 Division 1
Bryntirion Athletic vs Taffs Well
1:1
Nov 9, 2012 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Bryntirion Athletic
1:1
Sep 4, 2012 League Cup
Taffs Well vs Bryntirion Athletic
2:3
Mar 23, 2012 Division 1
Bryntirion Athletic vs Taffs Well
0:2
Jan 27, 2012 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Bryntirion Athletic
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Taffs Well 14 / 100
Bryntirion Athletic 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Taffs Well Bryntirion Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bryntirion Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Taffs Well found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).
Bryntirion Athletic let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Taffs Well remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Taffs Well VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Taffs Well
(Home) 18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1 Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1 Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4 Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1 Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1 Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4 Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1 Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5 Carmarthen Town
12 Apr
Taffs Well
1 : 3 Afan Lido
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Bryntirion Athletic
(Away) 18 May
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
07 May
Bryntirion Athletic
3 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
19 Apr
Bryntirion Athletic
1 : 1 Taffs Well
14 Apr
Monmouth
1 : 0 Bryntirion Athletic
09 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
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18 May
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
14 Apr
Monmouth
1 : 0 Bryntirion Athletic
09 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
02 Apr
Goytre Utd
0 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
12 Mar
Bridgend Town
0 : 2 Bryntirion Athletic
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Bryntirion Athletic 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Haverfordwest 4
Cambrian United 0
TBD -
Llanelli -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Buckley 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Rhyl 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
1/8-finals
Carmarthen Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Aberystwyth 2
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 5
Newtown 4
Haverfordwest 3
Llanelli 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Penrhyncoch 0
Rhyl 1
Connahs Q. 3
Bala 6
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 0
TNS 2
Quarter-finals
Carmarthen Town 3
Port Talbot 2
Afan Lido 3
Llanelli 6
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 2
TNS 3
Semi-finals
Carmarthen Town 2
Llanelli 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 5
Final
Carmarthen Town 4
TNS 3
