Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Taffs Well vs Risca United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Maertins J.
37' Event
Thomas M.
49' Event
Thomas M.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2021/2022 game between Taffs Well and Risca United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Risca United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Taffs Well
15%
Draws
34%
Risca United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taffs Well

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Risca United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru South 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 13%
Risca United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taffs Well Risca United
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2022 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Risca United
1:3
Aug 27, 2021 Cymru South
Risca United vs Taffs Well
1:1
Jan 27, 2017 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Risca United
3:2
Sep 9, 2016 Division 1
Risca United vs Taffs Well
0:1
Apr 1, 2016 Division 1
Risca United vs Taffs Well
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taffs Well Compare

Top Goalscorer Maertins J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taffs Well 31 / 100
Risca United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taffs Well Risca United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Risca United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Risca United has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Taffs Well scored in 68% of their last 38 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Risca United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taffs Well VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taffs Well

(Home)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 8

Risca United

(Away)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)