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Taguatinga vs Real Brasilia Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Costa G.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Alves J.
55' Event
Matheus Obina

AI Match Summary

Real Brasilia in this Brasiliense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Brasilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Taguatinga
15%
Draws
28%
Real Brasilia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taguatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Taguatinga lately — more wins on the board than Real Brasilia.
  • Model gives Taguatinga a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Brasilia have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Taguatinga Clean Sheet 20%
Real Brasilia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taguatinga Real Brasilia
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2023 Brasiliense
Taguatinga vs Real Brasilia
1:3
Mar 18, 2020 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Taguatinga
3:2
Mar 12, 2019 Brasiliense
Real Brasilia vs Taguatinga
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taguatinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilson Somalia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Brasilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Obina
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taguatinga 85 / 100
Real Brasilia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taguatinga Real Brasilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taguatinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Brasilia conceded in 83% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Taguatinga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Taguatinga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taguatinga VS Real Brasilia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Taguatinga

(Home)
03 Oct
Taguatinga
2 : 0
Luziania
27 Sept
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Planaltina
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
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Real Brasilia

(Away)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
11 Feb
Real Brasilia
0 : 3
Sobradinho
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Ceilandia
2 : 0
Real Brasilia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Brasilia 9 5 3 1 13:6 18
2 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 18:9 15
3 Capital 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 Paranoa 9 4 3 2 14:15 15
5 Gama 9 4 2 3 8:6 14
6 Ceilandia 9 4 2 3 12:11 14
7 Samambaia 9 4 1 4 16:16 13
8 Santa Maria 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
9 Taguatinga 9 2 1 6 12:19 7
10 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
Promotion - Brasiliense 2023 (Play Offs)