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Taguatinga vs Sobradinho

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Taguatinga Logo

Taguatinga

1 - 1
FT
Sobradinho Logo

Sobradinho

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Rony
90' Event
Sousa Rodrigues A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between Taguatinga and Sobradinho finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Taguatinga
20%
Draws
33%
Sobradinho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taguatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sobradinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Taguatinga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Taguatinga Clean Sheet 68%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taguatinga Sobradinho
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Taguatinga vs Sobradinho
1:1
Mar 30, 2021 Brasiliense
Taguatinga vs Sobradinho
2:0
Feb 16, 2020 Brasiliense
Taguatinga vs Sobradinho
0:2
Feb 3, 2019 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Taguatinga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taguatinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rony
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Sobradinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa Rodrigues A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taguatinga 77 / 100
Sobradinho 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taguatinga Sobradinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taguatinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Taguatinga scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Sobradinho let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Taguatinga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Taguatinga VS Sobradinho
1.4 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taguatinga

(Home)
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
20 Oct
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Legiao
12 Oct
Legiao
1 : 1
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

Sobradinho

(Away)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)