Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tahiti U19 vs Samoa U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Teriitemataua T.
53' Event
Papaura F.
84' Event
Brown I.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Tahiti U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tahiti U19
15%
Draws
26%
Samoa U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Samoa U19 haven't matched Tahiti U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tahiti U19's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Tahiti U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tahiti U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U19 Samoa U19
Matches Played 20 14
Wins 10 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Tahiti U19 vs Samoa U19
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Teriitemataua T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Papaura F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Samoa U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U19 66 / 100
Samoa U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U19 Samoa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tahiti U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Solid form: Tahiti U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U19 VS Samoa U19
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti U19

(Home)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
10 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 2
Tahiti U19
07 Sept
Tahiti U19
2 : 1
Fiji U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 4

Samoa U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2
Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Tahiti U19 4
Samoa U19 0
Vanuatu U19 3
Papua New Guinea U19 2