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Tahiti U23 vs Vanuatu U23

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games 2015 game between Tahiti U23 and Vanuatu U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tahiti U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Tahiti U23
15%
Draws
40%
Vanuatu U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tahiti U23 haven't matched Vanuatu U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tahiti U23 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pacific Games 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Tahiti U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U23 Vanuatu U23
Matches Played 5 14
Wins 3 8
Draws 1 1
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 6.8 5.07
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 3.71 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2015 Pacific Games
Tahiti U23 vs Vanuatu U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U23 83 / 100
Vanuatu U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U23 Vanuatu U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti U23 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (5 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tahiti U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Vanuatu U23 conceded in 57% of 14 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U23 VS Vanuatu U23
6.8 Goals Scored 7.88
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.63
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti U23

(Home)
17 Jul
Tahiti U23
0 : 2
New Caledonia U23
15 Jul
Tahiti U23
2 : 1
Papua New Guinea U23
07 Jul
Tahiti U23
0 : 0
Fiji U23
05 Jul
Tahiti U23
2 : 1
Vanuatu U23
03 Jul
Micronesia U23
0 : 30
Tahiti U23

Vanuatu U23

(Away)
06 Sept
New Zealand U23
8 : 0
Vanuatu U23
03 Sept
Vanuatu U23
3 : 1
Samoa U23
31 Aug
Tonga U23
0 : 4
Vanuatu U23
28 Aug
Solomon Islands U23
3 : 0
Vanuatu U23
05 Oct
Fiji U23
0 : 1
Vanuatu U23
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U23 3 2 1 0 32:1 7
2 Fiji U23 3 1 2 0 39:1 5
3 Vanuatu U23 3 1 1 1 48:3 4
4 Micronesia U23 3 0 0 3 0:114 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 New Caledonia U23 3 2 0 1 2:5 6
3 Papua New Guinea U23 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Solomon Islands U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2015 (Play Offs)