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Tahiti United vs PNG Hekari

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kasum G.
45' Event
Waranaivalu T.
87' Event
Gonerau L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tahiti United
20%
Draws
38%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tahiti United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tahiti United haven't matched PNG Hekari's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tahiti United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tahiti United Clean Sheet 13%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti United PNG Hekari
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 OFC Pro League
Tahiti United vs PNG Hekari
2:2
Mar 18, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs Tahiti United
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 OFC Pro League
Tahiti United vs PNG Hekari
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti United Compare

Top Goalscorer Waranaivalu T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Athale J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasum G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonerau L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti United 40 / 100
PNG Hekari 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti United PNG Hekari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tahiti United scored in 76% of their last 17 outings.

PNG Hekari let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Tahiti United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti United VS PNG Hekari
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
5Vanuatu United32108:57
6Solomon Kings32017:46
7Tahiti United30215:62
8PNG Hekari30123:81