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Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Athale J.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Pro League game between Tahiti United and Vanuatu United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tahiti United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tahiti United
28%
Draws
50%
Vanuatu United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vanuatu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tahiti United haven't matched Vanuatu United's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Vanuatu United taking it.
  • Regular OFC Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tahiti United Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti United Vanuatu United
Matches Played 17 19
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 OFC Pro League
Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United
2:2
Apr 17, 2026 OFC Pro League
Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs Tahiti United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti United Compare

Top Goalscorer Athale J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vanuatu United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti United 22 / 100
Vanuatu United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti United Vanuatu United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vanuatu United conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tahiti United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti United VS Vanuatu United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti United

(Home)
13 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
Vanuatu United
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Solomon Kings
2 : 1
Tahiti United
21 Apr
South Melbourne
8 : 1
Tahiti United
17 Apr
Tahiti United
1 : 0
Vanuatu United
Page 1 of 4

Vanuatu United

(Away)
20 May
South Melbourne
4 : 0
Vanuatu United
17 May
Bula
1 : 2
Vanuatu United
13 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
Vanuatu United
10 May
Solomon Kings
2 : 3
Vanuatu United
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League (Losers stage)