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Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games Women
Tue, Nov 28, 2023
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tahiti W host Cook Islands W in the Pacific Games Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tahiti W have averaged 1 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Cook Islands W's 0.75 scored and 2.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Tahiti W slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Cook Islands W. API prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tahiti W
39%
Draws
31%
Cook Islands W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cook Islands W come out ahead of Tahiti W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tahiti W Clean Sheet 19%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti W Cook Islands W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 World Cup Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:1
Nov 28, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:1
Aug 29, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti W 31 / 100
Cook Islands W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti W Cook Islands W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Tahiti W found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Tahiti W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti W VS Cook Islands W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Solomon Islands W1
Vanuatu W2
Tonga W2
Tahiti W0
Semi-finals
Solomon Islands W1
Tonga W0
Tahiti W1
Vanuatu W2