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Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games Women
Tue, Nov 28, 2023
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tahiti W have averaged 0.96 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Cook Islands W's 0.9 scored and 2.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Tahiti W slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Cook Islands W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tahiti W
15%
Draws
76%
Cook Islands W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

9% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cook Islands W come out ahead of Tahiti W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cook Islands W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cook Islands W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tahiti W Clean Sheet 19%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti W Cook Islands W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.96 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 World Cup Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:1
Nov 28, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:1
Aug 29, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti W 31 / 100
Cook Islands W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti W Cook Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Tahiti W's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Tahiti W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti W VS Cook Islands W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti W

(Home)
02 Dec
Tonga W
4 : 1
Tahiti W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Vanuatu W
10 Jul
Samoa W
3 : 1
Tahiti W
07 Jul
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 1
Tahiti W
Page 1 of 6

Cook Islands W

(Away)
07 Jun
Cook Islands W
3 : 0
Afghanistan W
03 Jun
Cook Islands W
1 : 0
Afghanistan W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0
Cook Islands W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Solomon Islands W 1
Vanuatu W 2
Tonga W 2
Tahiti W 0
Semi-finals
Solomon Islands W 1
Tonga W 0
Tahiti W 1
Vanuatu W 2