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Tai Po vs Shatin

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

Tai Po in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tai Po
15%
Draws
0%
Shatin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tai Po lately — more wins on the board than Shatin.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tai Po taking it.
  • Tai Po have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tai Po, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 17%
Shatin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tai Po Shatin
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 19 3
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2010 FA Cup
Tai Po vs Shatin
2:1
Mar 28, 2010 Premier League
Tai Po vs Shatin
0:0
Oct 24, 2009 Premier League
Shatin vs Tai Po
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tai Po 84 / 100
Shatin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tai Po Shatin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tai Po Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Shatin let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Shatin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tai Po VS Shatin
2.25 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
04 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Tai Po
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
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Shatin

(Away)
01 Oct
Shatin
2 : 3
Hong Kong FC
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3
Kowloon City
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pegasus 6
Happy Valley 1
Tai Po 2
Shatin 1
Dreams Metro Gallery 2
Sun Hei 1
South China 0
Citizen 1
Semi-finals
Pegasus 3
Tai Po 1
Dreams Metro Gallery 1
Citizen 2
Final
Pegasus 2
Citizen 1