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Stadium Background

Tajikistan U16 vs Japan U16

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Osako R.
88' Event
Kobuki S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Tajikistan U16 and Japan U16 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Tajikistan U16
20%
Draws
42%
Japan U16
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U16 come out ahead of Tajikistan U16 on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Japan U16 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tajikistan U16 Clean Sheet 15%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan U16 Japan U16
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2022 Friendly International
Tajikistan U16 vs Japan U16
0:2
Oct 7, 2018 AFC Championship U16
Japan U16 vs Tajikistan U16
1:0
Sep 23, 2018 AFC Championship U16
Tajikistan U16 vs Japan U16
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osako R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobuki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U16 31 / 100
Japan U16 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan U16 Japan U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tajikistan U16 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Japan U16 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 37 outings.

Tajikistan U16 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan U16 VS Japan U16
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan U16

(Home)
25 Mar
Belarus U16
6 : 1
Tajikistan U16
23 Mar
Tajikistan U16
2 : 2
Uzbekistan U16
21 Mar
Kazakhstan U16
0 : 0
Tajikistan U16
25 May
United Arab Emirates U16
0 : 1
Tajikistan U16
22 May
United Arab Emirates U16
1 : 3
Tajikistan U16
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Japan U16

(Away)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
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