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Tajikistan U17 vs Afghanistan U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2023
Tajikistan U17 Logo

Tajikistan U17

2 - 0
FT
Afghanistan U17 Logo

Afghanistan U17

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tajikistan U17
15%
Draws
26%
Afghanistan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tajikistan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tajikistan U17 lately — more wins on the board than Afghanistan U17.
  • Tajikistan U17 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Tajikistan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tajikistan U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tajikistan U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Afghanistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan U17 Afghanistan U17
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.71 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Friendly International
Afghanistan U17 vs Tajikistan U17
0:3
Oct 9, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U17
Tajikistan U17 vs Afghanistan U17
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U17 75 / 100
Afghanistan U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan U17 Afghanistan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tajikistan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan U17 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Afghanistan U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tajikistan U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan U17 VS Afghanistan U17
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan U17

(Home)
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Saudi Arabia U17
5 : 5
Tajikistan U17
09 May
Myanmar U17
0 : 1
Tajikistan U17
05 May
Tajikistan U17
2 : 0
Thailand U17
11 Nov
Burkina Faso U17
2 : 0
Tajikistan U17
Page 1 of 7

Afghanistan U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Oman U17
4 : 0
Afghanistan U17
28 Nov
Afghanistan U17
2 : 0
Nepal U17
26 Nov
Afghanistan U17
1 : 3
Syria U17
22 Nov
Myanmar U17
3 : 1
Afghanistan U17
30 May
Iran U17
3 : 1
Afghanistan U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 4 4 0 0 15:0 12
2 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Syria U17 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
4 Turkmenistan U17 4 1 1 2 3:11 4
5 Philippines U17 4 0 0 4 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U17 4 3 1 0 13:4 10
2 Indonesia U17 4 3 0 1 20:7 9
3 United Arab Emirates U17 4 2 0 2 17:9 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
5 Guam U17 4 0 1 3 1:28 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U17 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Oman U17 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Iraq U17 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
4 Bahrain U17 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
5 Lebanon U17 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 4 4 0 0 19:2 12
2 India U17 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Myanmar U17 4 1 0 3 8:11 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 0:27 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Bangladesh U17 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Singapore U17 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Bhutan U17 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U17 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Chinese Taipei U17 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Nepal U17 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 3 3 0 0 36:1 9
2 China U17 3 2 0 1 21:3 6
3 Cambodia U17 3 1 0 2 4:19 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 3 0 0 3 0:38 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Afghanistan U17 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Mongolia U17 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
4 Timor-Leste U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U17 3 3 0 0 18:1 9
2 Laos U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U17 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Hong Kong U17 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 2 2 0 0 17:2 6
2 South Korea U17 2 1 0 1 12:3 3
3 Brunei U17 2 0 0 2 0:24 0
4 Sri Lanka U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)