Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23

Tajikistan U23

0 - 1

Syria U23

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Al Sarakbi M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Tajikistan U23

15%

Draws

46%

Syria U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Syria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Syria U23 come out ahead of Tajikistan U23 on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Tajikistan U23 taking it.
Syria U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Syria U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Tajikistan U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Syria U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tajikistan U23	Syria U23
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	8	14
Draws	6	3
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1	1.78
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.22
Expected Goals (xG)	0.87	1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23

Tajikistan U23 vs Syria U23

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.67

Avg xA / game 0.43

Syria U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sarakbi M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U23 41 / 100

Syria U23 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tajikistan U23 Syria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Syria U23 let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tajikistan U23 scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tajikistan U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan U23 VS Syria U23

0.86 Goals Scored 2.13

0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88

29% Over 1.5 75%

29% Over 2.5 75%

14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan U23

(Home)

09 Jun

China U23

3 : 0

Tajikistan U23

06 Jun

China U23

1 : 0

Tajikistan U23

31 Mar

India U23

0 : 1

Tajikistan U23

25 Mar

Bhutan U23

0 : 1

Tajikistan U23

09 Sept

Tajikistan U23

0 : 1

Syria U23

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Syria U23

(Away)

13 Jan

United Arab Emirates U23

1 : 1

Syria U23

10 Jan

Syria U23

1 : 0

Qatar U23

07 Jan

Japan U23

5 : 0

Syria U23

30 Dec

Syria U23

2 : 1

Vietnam U23

26 Dec

South Korea U23

1 : 0

Syria U23

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