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Tajikistan vs Palestine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Mon, Jun 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan host Palestine in the Friendly International. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tajikistan have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Palestine's 1.2 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Tajikistan have won 0 to Palestine's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2026, ending 2:4. The numbers (0.82 xG vs 0.82) point toward Tajikistan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tajikistan
35%
Draws
37%
Palestine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palestine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tajikistan lately — more wins on the board than Palestine.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Palestine taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tajikistan Clean Sheet 20%
Palestine Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan Palestine
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Friendly International
Tajikistan vs Palestine
2:4
Jun 1, 2026 Friendly International
Tajikistan vs Palestine
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 Merdeka Cup
Palestine vs Tajikistan
0:0
Oct 12, 2018 Bangabandhu Gold Cup
Tajikistan vs Palestine
0:1
Oct 4, 2018 Bangabandhu Gold Cup
Tajikistan vs Palestine
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan 20 / 100
Palestine 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan Palestine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Palestine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Tajikistan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan VS Palestine
1.14 Goals Scored 0.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 25%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan

(Home)
06 Oct
China
0 : 1
Tajikistan
28 Sept
Tajikistan
2 : 4
Palestine
23 Sept
Azerbaijan
1 : 0
Tajikistan
09 Jun
Tajikistan
1 : 1
India
05 Jun
Tajikistan
3 : 1
India
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Palestine

(Away)
02 Oct
China
0 : 5
Palestine
30 Sept
Konyaspor
2 : 2
Palestine
28 Sept
Tajikistan
2 : 4
Palestine
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
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