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Tajikistan W vs Malaysia W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Justine H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tajikistan W
20%
Draws
40%
Malaysia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Malaysia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Malaysia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Malaysia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malaysia W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Tajikistan W Clean Sheet 12%
Malaysia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan W Malaysia W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.86
Goals Conceded 4.76 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Tajikistan W vs Malaysia W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Malaysia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Justine H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan W 10 / 100
Malaysia W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan W Malaysia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaysia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Malaysia W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tajikistan W's goal record stands at 34% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan W VS Malaysia W
0 Goals Scored 0.63
2.8 Goals Conceded 2.88
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan W

(Home)
05 Mar
United Arab Emirates W
0 : 0
Tajikistan W
05 Jul
Palestine W
3 : 0
Tajikistan W
02 Jul
Tajikistan W
0 : 1
Malaysia W
29 Jun
North Korea W
10 : 0
Tajikistan W
26 Feb
Saudi Arabia W
3 : 0
Tajikistan W
Page 1 of 6

Malaysia W

(Away)
16 Jul
Malaysia W
1 : 3
Singapore W
10 Jul
Laos W
1 : 1
Malaysia W
06 Jun
Malaysia W
0 : 2
Palestine W
03 Jun
Jordan W
4 : 3
Malaysia W
11 Dec
Philippines W
6 : 0
Malaysia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran W 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
2 Jordan W 4 3 0 1 13:2 9
3 Bhutan W 4 2 0 2 6:13 6
4 Lebanon W 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 Singapore W 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India W 4 4 0 0 24:1 12
2 Thailand W 4 3 0 1 23:2 9
3 Timor-Leste W 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
4 Iraq W 4 1 1 2 5:14 4
5 Mongolia W 4 0 0 4 3:32 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Myanmar W 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Bahrain W 3 0 1 2 2:15 1
4 Turkmenistan W 3 0 1 2 2:17 1
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Pakistan W 3 2 0 1 4:9 6
3 Indonesia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Guam W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Maldives W 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
2 Nepal W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
3 Laos W 3 1 0 2 2:16 3
4 Sri Lanka W 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines W 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Hong Kong W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Cambodia W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Saudi Arabia W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 3 0 0 26:0 9
2 Malaysia W 3 2 0 1 2:6 6
3 Palestine W 3 1 0 2 3:11 3
4 Tajikistan W 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)