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Tak Chun Ka I vs Hoi Fan

Macao Macao

Elite League 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tak Chun Ka I in this Elite League 2009 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tak Chun Ka I.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tak Chun Ka I
6%
Draws
90%
Hoi Fan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hoi Fan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I have won more games recently than Hoi Fan.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hoi Fan taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tak Chun Ka I have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%
Hoi Fan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I Hoi Fan
Matches Played 43 36
Wins 17 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 5.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2011 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Hoi Fan
7:0
Jan 16, 2011 Elite League
Hoi Fan vs Tak Chun Ka I
1:8
Apr 17, 2010 Elite League
Hoi Fan vs Tak Chun Ka I
1:4
Jun 14, 2009 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Hoi Fan
6:1
Mar 22, 2009 Elite League
Hoi Fan vs Tak Chun Ka I
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
Hoi Fan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I Hoi Fan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoi Fan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 6.80 goals as a typical output.

Tak Chun Ka I scored in 77% of their last 43 games.

Difficult form: Hoi Fan registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tak Chun Ka I VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
5.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tak Chun Ka I

(Home)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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Hoi Fan

(Away)
25 Jun
Lam Pak
2 : 2
Hoi Fan
19 Jun
Lam Leng
5 : 1
Hoi Fan
09 Jun
Hong Ngai
2 : 1
Hoi Fan
05 Jun
Hoi Fan
3 : 2
Policia
28 May
Hoi Fan
3 : 3
Artilheiros
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