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Tak Chun Ka I vs Toi Seng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Tak Chun Ka I Logo

Tak Chun Ka I

4 - 0
FT
Toi Seng Logo

Toi Seng

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fong C. W.
27' Event
Lai H. T. C.
Own Goal
32' Event
Nascimento Josecler F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tak Chun Ka I in this Elite League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tak Chun Ka I.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tak Chun Ka I
15%
Draws
85%
Toi Seng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toi Seng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Toi Seng haven't matched Tak Chun Ka I's recent run of results.
  • Toi Seng are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I Toi Seng
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.06
Goals Conceded 4.67 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Toi Seng
4:0
Mar 24, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Fong C. W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nascimento Josecler F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Toi Seng Compare

Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
Toi Seng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I Toi Seng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toi Seng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Toi Seng conceded in 100% of 16 recent games.

Tak Chun Ka I found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Toi Seng lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tak Chun Ka I VS Toi Seng
0.88 Goals Scored 2
5.63 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tak Chun Ka I

(Home)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
Page 1 of 6

Toi Seng

(Away)
30 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Monte Carlo
22 Jul
Toi Seng
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
16 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Cheng Fung
08 Jul
Hang Sai
1 : 4
Toi Seng
25 Jun
Toi Seng
1 : 2
Lun Lok
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)