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Takovo vs Macva Bogatic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Takovo
30%
Draws
51%
Macva Bogatic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macva Bogatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Takovo lately — more wins on the board than Macva Bogatic.
  • Macva Bogatic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Takovo Clean Sheet 20%
Macva Bogatic Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Takovo Macva Bogatic
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Takovo
1:1
Oct 22, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs Macva Bogatic
2:2
Jun 4, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs Macva Bogatic
1:3
Nov 20, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Takovo
1:0
May 1, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs Macva Bogatic
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Takovo 10 / 100
Macva Bogatic 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Takovo Macva Bogatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macva Bogatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Takovo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Macva Bogatic conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Takovo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Takovo VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Takovo

(Home)
04 Oct
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
0 : 1
Takovo
27 Sept
Takovo
0 : 1
Djerdap Golubac
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
Takovo
1 : 2
Jedinstvo Putevi
12 Sept
Vujan Prislonica
1 : 1
Takovo
Page 1 of 9

Macva Bogatic

(Away)
10 Jun
Macva Bogatic
3 : 0
Mladi Radnik
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
OFK Mihajlovac
0 : 2
Macva Bogatic
13 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Takovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smederevo 30 24 5 1 62:17 77
2 Borac 1926 30 24 4 2 74:24 76
3 FAP 30 16 9 5 46:26 57
4 Sloga Pozega 30 13 9 8 36:24 48
5 Polet Ljubic 30 13 6 11 47:50 45
6 Tutin 30 12 5 13 29:37 41
7 Takovo 30 9 10 11 37:39 37
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 9 10 11 27:39 37
9 OFK Mihajlovac 30 8 10 12 26:39 34
10 Mladi Radnik 30 9 6 15 39:52 33
11 Real Podunavci 30 9 6 15 29:41 33
12 Macva Bogatic 30 8 8 14 39:45 32
13 Sloga Kraljevo 30 7 10 13 29:41 31
14 Sloga 1940 30 9 4 17 39:41 31
15 Radevac 30 7 9 14 28:39 30
16 Buducnost Arilje 30 5 5 20 24:57 20
Promotion - Prva Liga 2023/2024 (Main)