Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Takovo vs OFK Napredak

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 game between Takovo and OFK Napredak finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Takovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Takovo
30%
Draws
62%
OFK Napredak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OFK Napredak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OFK Napredak come out ahead of Takovo on wins alone.
  • Model gives OFK Napredak a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Takovo Clean Sheet 20%
OFK Napredak Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Takovo OFK Napredak
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 15
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.81 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs OFK Napredak
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Takovo
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Takovo
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs OFK Napredak
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Takovo 20 / 100
OFK Napredak 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Takovo OFK Napredak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFK Napredak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: OFK Napredak conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Takovo found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Takovo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Takovo VS OFK Napredak
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Takovo

(Home)
27 Sept
Takovo
0 : 1
Djerdap Golubac
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
Takovo
1 : 2
Jedinstvo Putevi
12 Sept
Vujan Prislonica
1 : 1
Takovo
05 Sept
Takovo
0 : 1
Radnicki Valjevo
Page 1 of 7

OFK Napredak

(Away)
27 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 0
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
23 Sept
Djerdap Golubac
0 : 2
OFK Napredak
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
13 Sept
Jedinstvo Putevi
0 : 0
OFK Napredak
05 Sept
OFK Napredak
4 : 1
Vujan Prislonica
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalac 30 20 8 2 52:17 68
2 Real Podunavci 30 13 10 7 37:29 49
3 Radnicki Valjevo 30 13 5 12 43:38 44
4 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 30 11 10 9 42:30 43
5 Omladinac Zablace 30 10 12 8 36:30 42
6 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
7 Sloboda 30 9 14 7 33:24 41
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 10 10 34:33 40
9 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 11 6 13 35:39 39
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 30 9 12 9 29:28 39
11 OFK Napredak 30 8 14 8 36:33 38
12 Takovo 30 9 10 11 23:29 37
13 Sloga Pozega 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
14 Mladi Radnik Radinac 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
15 Josanica 30 6 10 14 30:45 28
16 Polimlje 30 5 9 16 24:50 24
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