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Tallinn Piraaja vs Tallinna Wolves

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinn Piraaja play Tallinna Wolves in the Estonian Cup 2016/2017. Tallinn Piraaja are favorites here. Recently, Tallinn Piraaja averaged 2.04 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. Tallinna Wolves averaged 1.21 goals scored and 5.71 conceded. In past meetings, Tallinn Piraaja won 1, Tallinna Wolves won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2016 ended 11:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.44 for Tallinn Piraaja and 1.44 for Tallinna Wolves. This points to a Tallinn Piraaja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Tallinn Piraaja
15%
Draws
23%
Tallinna Wolves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinn Piraaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Tallinn Piraaja picked up more points recently compared to Tallinna Wolves.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.44 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Tallinn Piraaja Clean Sheet 16%
Tallinna Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinn Piraaja Tallinna Wolves
Matches Played 25 14
Wins 9 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.44 5.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 5.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2016 Estonian Cup
Tallinn Piraaja vs Tallinna Wolves
11:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinn Piraaja 59 / 100
Tallinna Wolves 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinn Piraaja Tallinna Wolves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinn Piraaja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tallinn Piraaja & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tallinn Piraaja attacking → ← attacking Tallinna Wolves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinn Piraaja scored in 65% of their last 23 games.

Tallinna Wolves let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 12.00 goals.

Tallinn Piraaja went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tallinna Wolves lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 9
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.13