Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tallinna Kalev III vs FC Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Joeaar K.
22' Event
Orion S.
27' Event
Orion S.

AI Match Summary

FC Tartu in this Estonian Cup 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tallinna Kalev III
33%
Draws
27%
FC Tartu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tallinna Kalev III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tartu lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev III.
  • Tallinna Kalev III are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Cup games in Estonian Cup 2017/2018 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tallinna Kalev III Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev III FC Tartu
Matches Played 19 12
Wins 6 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.38 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2017 Estonian Cup
Tallinna Kalev III vs FC Tartu
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev III Compare

Top Goalscorer Joeaar K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Orion S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaupo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev III 38 / 100
FC Tartu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev III FC Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tartu let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Tallinna Kalev III found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (18 games).

Tallinna Kalev III has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev III VS FC Tartu
1.38 Goals Scored 2.29
2.38 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 86%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva6
Maardu Linnameeskond1
TBD-
Pohja-Sakala-
Legion-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia Tallinn III-
JK Poseidon-
TBD-
Kose1
Raasiku Joker10
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
Pirita1
Rakvere5
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Ambla-
Tallinna Depoo-
TBD-
FCP Parnu1
Ganvix Turi4
Anija7
Puhkus Mehhikos0
Elbato1
Lihula JK7
Castovanni Eagles-
TBD-
FCI Tallinn II0
FCI Tallinn7
Kalju13
Viimsi JK 20
TBD-
Koeru-
Kohtla-Nomme3
Soccernet1
TBD-
Lelle-
FC Tartu3
Eston Villa1
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev III-
Santos Tartu-
TBD-
JK Poseidon II1
Paide Linnameeskond II12
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve7
Rakvere II0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool2
Saue JK Laagri10
Flora U195
Vastseliina Tannem0
Raplamaa0
Tartu JK Welco1
Paide Linnameeskond27
FC Hiiu United0
Imavere Forss1
Jogeva4
Sillamae Kalev-
TBD-
Nomme Utd0
Levadia3
Flora Tallinn U2110
Rumori Calcio II0
TBD-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II-
Jogeva Wolves5
Odratakkel1
TBD-
Viimsi JK-
Zenit Tallinn-
TBD-
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Otepaa6
Jarva-Jaani18
JK 32. keskkool2
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna-
Maardu United-
TBD-
TBD-
Valga Warrior-
Tartu Ulikool1
Viimsi Lovid0
Tallinna Wolves0
TransferWise2
Kohila-
TBD-
Oismae Torm2
Jogeva Wolves II3
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Tulevik-
Kuressaare-
TBD-
FC Lootos Polva1
Kadrina SK Moe4
Loo JK-
TBD-
Navi Vutiselts2
Rada Kuusalu4
Kadakas7
Raudteetoolised2
TBD-
Rapla Lokomotiiv-
Molycorp Silmet2
Igiliikur0
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
Elva-
TBD-
Tallinna FC Zapoos3
FC Ararat5
SK Taaksi1
Vaatsa Vald0
Tallinn Piraaja1
Maardu Aliens2
Narva United-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
Tammeka Tartu II6
Olympic Tallinn1
Helios1
Flora17
1/32-finals
Narva8
Pohja-Sakala0
Legion0
Levadia Tallinn III3
JK Poseidon2
Raasiku Joker0
Tallinna Kalev0
Rakvere1
Laanemaa Haapsalu4
Ambla1
Tallinna Depoo1
Ganvix Turi12
Anija5
Lihula JK1
Castovanni Eagles0
FCI Tallinn4
Kalju1
Koeru0
Kohtla-Nomme2
Lelle3
FC Tartu5
Tallinna Kalev III1
Santos Tartu0
Paide Linnameeskond II3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Saue JK Laagri0
Flora U190
Tartu JK Welco2
Paide Linnameeskond7
Jogeva3
Sillamae Kalev1
Levadia2
Flora Tallinn U218
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II0
Jogeva Wolves1
Viimsi JK6
Zenit Tallinn5
Otepaa2
Jarva-Jaani1
Pohja-Tallinna4
Maardu United10
Valga Warrior0
Tartu Ulikool2
TransferWise3
Kohila3
Jogeva Wolves II0
Tammeka Tartu0
Tulevik1
Kuressaare12
Kadrina SK Moe0
Loo JK1
Rada Kuusalu2
Kadakas2
Rapla Lokomotiiv1
Molycorp Silmet0
Rumori Calcio6
Elva8
FC Ararat0
SK Taaksi1
Maardu Aliens6
Narva United2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Tammeka Tartu II0
Flora7
1/16-finals
Narva9
Levadia Tallinn III2
JK Poseidon0
Rakvere4
Laanemaa Haapsalu2
Ganvix Turi1
Anija0
FCI Tallinn16
Kalju8
Lelle0
FC Tartu0
Paide Linnameeskond II11
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve5
Tartu JK Welco0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Levadia3
Flora Tallinn U212
Viimsi JK0
Zenit Tallinn1
Pohja-Tallinna5
Maardu United5
TransferWise4
Kohila0
Tulevik8
Kuressaare9
Rada Kuusalu1
Kadakas2
Rumori Calcio3
Elva3
Maardu Aliens0
Narva United0
Flora8
1/8-finals
Narva2
Rakvere0
Laanemaa Haapsalu1
FCI Tallinn7
Kalju2
Paide Linnameeskond II1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Levadia7
Flora Tallinn U213
Pohja-Tallinna0
Maardu United-
Tulevik-
Kuressaare6
Rumori Calcio0
Elva0
Flora2
Quarter-finals
Narva6
FCI Tallinn0
Kalju0
Levadia1
Flora Tallinn U217
Tulevik3
Kuressaare0
Flora7
Semi-finals
Narva0
Levadia5
Flora Tallinn U213
Flora9
Final
Levadia1
Flora0