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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Treumuth K.
35' Event
Zahharov J.
74' Event
Pevtsov G.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tallinna Kalev U21 and Johvi Phoenix finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tallinna Kalev U21
6%
Draws
90%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev U21 haven't matched Johvi Phoenix's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Johvi Phoenix taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 2.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Treumuth K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahharov J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pevtsov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Johvi Phoenix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Johvi Phoenix conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Johvi Phoenix
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777