Sport Picks
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2025/2026 Kalevi Keskstaadion, Tallinn 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Tallinna Kalev U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tallinna Kalev U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tallinna Kalev U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
- Tallinna Kalev U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tallinna Kalev U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tallinna Kalev U21 have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna Kalev U21 | Laanemaa Haapsalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 16 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.47 | 4.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2025 Estonian Cup
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
2:0
Oct 2, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
8:1
Aug 13, 2023 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:5
Jun 10, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
6:0
Apr 16, 2023 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
3:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna Kalev U21 83 / 100
Laanemaa Haapsalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna Kalev U21 Laanemaa Haapsalu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Laanemaa Haapsalu let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Laanemaa Haapsalu registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Laanemaa Haapsalu
2.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna Kalev U21
(Home) 19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2 Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1 Tulevik
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2 Narva U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1 Tulevik
21 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 3 Legion
09 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 1 Johvi Phoenix
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Laanemaa Haapsalu
(Away) 22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6 Elva
09 Nov
Legion
5 : 4 Laanemaa Haapsalu
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond U21
26 Oct
Tartu Kalev
10 : 0 Laanemaa Haapsalu
23 Oct
Narva U21
5 : 0 Laanemaa Haapsalu
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09 Nov
Legion
5 : 4 Laanemaa Haapsalu
26 Oct
Tartu Kalev
10 : 0 Laanemaa Haapsalu
23 Oct
Narva U21
5 : 0 Laanemaa Haapsalu
04 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
8 : 1 Laanemaa Haapsalu
18 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
7 : 0 Laanemaa Haapsalu
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U18 -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
TransferWise -
Tallinna Wolves 6
Soccernet 4
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri III -
Saue JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
TBD -
Narva -
Lootus JK Jarve -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 2
Rae Spordikool 4
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose II -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
TalTech JK -
Tamper -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Kose -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
Tartu Kalev 1
Elva 2
TBD -
Legion -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Smsraha -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 2
FC Lootos Polva 0
Raplamaa 1
Saku Sporting 5
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Kubik 0
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Keila JK 5
Kallaste United 2
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Vana Hea Puur 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 1
Tartu JK Welco 16
Kuusalu Kalev 0
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiine -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Kohvile 0
Helm 4
Levadia -
TBD -
Flora U18 1
Flora Tallinn U21 12
Tabasalu Ulasabat 13
Eston Villa 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Wolves 3
Raasiku Joker 4
Nomme Utd 5
Harju JK Laagri III 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Maksatransport 1
Tartu JK Welco 2 0
Narva 8
Lootus JK Jarve 1
Rae Spordikool 10
FC Tallinn 7
Zealot Sporting 1
Johvi Phoenix -
Kose II -
TBD -
Kalju -
Viimsi JK 7
TalTech JK 1
Tamper 4
Rumori Calcio 2
Kose 0
Kuressaare 7
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora U19 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 0
Elva 3
Legion 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Smsraha 7
Tallinna Kalev III 9
EstHam United 0
Hiiumaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 7
FC Hell Hunt 0
Saku Sporting 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 13
Tulevik 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Keila JK 4
Maardu Aliens 1
JK Poseidon 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Tartu Helios 0
Arukula Vigri 0
Kristiine 4
1/16-finals
Flora 14
Helm 0
Levadia 4
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Raasiku Joker 1
Nomme Utd 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Narva 4
Rae Spordikool 0
FC Tallinn 9
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kalju 6
Viimsi JK 4
Tamper 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Flora U19 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Elva 3
Tallinna Smsraha 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Saku Sporting 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 9
Keila JK 0
JK Poseidon 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Kristiine 0
1/8-finals
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Harju JK Laagri 0
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 6
FC Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Viimsi JK 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Tammeka Tartu 0
Elva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
JK Poseidon 0
Tartu JK Welco 6
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Nomme Utd 1
Narva 4
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Tallinna Kalev 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Tartu JK Welco 1
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Final
Flora 5
Paide Linnameeskond 1
