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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Jose J.
43' Event
Miranda da Silva K.
71' Event
Pavlov V.

AI Match Summary

Narva U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Tallinna Kalev U21
15%
Draws
61%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Narva U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • Win probability leans Narva U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Narva U21 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Narva U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 2.1 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
5:0
Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jose J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda da Silva K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
Narva U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Narva U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Narva U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Home)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
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Narva U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)