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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Orm R.
63' Event
Pormeister K.
71' Event
Kahro K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tallinna Kalev U21 and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tallinna Kalev U21
6%
Draws
90%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 2.13 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pormeister K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahro K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orm R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolvart S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Tallinna Kalev U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2.13 Goals Scored 3.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777