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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Santos Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Reimaa R.
46'
Sub
Arst M. In: Meus O.
Out: Arst M.
58'
Reinberg K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2018 game between Tallinna Kalev U21 and Santos Tartu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tallinna Kalev U21
39%
Draws
30%
Santos Tartu
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos Tartu come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Santos Tartu
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:1
Aug 11, 2018 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Santos Tartu
1:1
Apr 29, 2018 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Santos Tartu
1:0
Mar 18, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reimaa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santos Tartu Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 30 / 100
Santos Tartu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Santos Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Santos Tartu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tallinna Kalev U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362916126:3888
2Flora Tallinn U21362187115:3171
3Levadia U21361871167:5661
4Elva3615101151:6455
5Rakvere3614101259:6052
6Tartu JK Welco361261844:7842
7Santos Tartu361181747:6841
8Tallinna Kalev U21361091737:5239
9Keila JK361052141:8835
10Kalju U2136562537:8921