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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sikk A.
26' Event
Kohv K.
28' Event
Kirsipuu S.

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 7-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tallinna Kalev U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tallinna Kalev U21
22%
Draws
60%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tartu Kalev have won more games recently than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Kalev taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Tallinna Kalev U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 2.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev
7:2
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:3
Sep 23, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev
0:0
Jul 3, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:3
May 6, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Litmanen B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sikk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohv K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kruusla G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 18 / 100
Tartu Kalev 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Tartu Kalev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Tartu Kalev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Tartu Kalev lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Tartu Kalev
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777