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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Vandra Vaprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Esiliiga B 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2021 game between Tallinna Kalev U21 and Vandra Vaprus finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tallinna Kalev U21
15%
Draws
34%
Vandra Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tallinna Kalev U21 come out ahead of Vandra Vaprus on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Vandra Vaprus
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 2.15 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Vandra Vaprus
5:2
Jul 17, 2021 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:1
May 16, 2021 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Vandra Vaprus
1:2
Oct 1, 2017 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:8
Aug 13, 2017 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Vandra Vaprus
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 74 / 100
Vandra Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Vandra Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Vandra Vaprus has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Vandra Vaprus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Home)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 7

Vandra Vaprus

(Away)
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viimsi JK 27 17 7 3 71:24 58
2 Harju JK Laagri 27 16 3 8 69:43 51
3 FC Tallinn 27 14 2 11 59:49 44
4 FC Alliance 27 13 2 12 53:64 41
5 Tabasalu 27 12 4 11 58:51 40
6 Tallinna Kalev U21 27 12 3 12 63:58 39
7 Legion U21 27 12 0 15 63:74 36
8 Kalju U21 27 9 2 16 52:62 29
9 Vandra Vaprus 27 8 3 16 39:67 27
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 27 8 2 17 56:91 26
Promotion - Esiliiga B 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2021 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Esiliiga B 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2021 (Relegation Group)