Sport Picks
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia
Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion 
AI Match Summary
Tallinna Kalev play Maardu Linnameeskond in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tallinna Kalev averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Maardu Linnameeskond averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Tallinna Kalev won 1, Maardu Linnameeskond won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.50 for Maardu Linnameeskond. This points to a Maardu Linnameeskond double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tallinna Kalev picked up more points recently compared to Maardu Linnameeskond.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.50 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna Kalev | Maardu Linnameeskond |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tallinna Kalev Compare
Maardu Linnameeskond Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna Kalev scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Maardu Linnameeskond let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Tallinna Kalev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Maardu Linnameeskond lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 54:23 | 42 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:14 | 31 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 44:34 | 30 |
| 4 | Elva | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 24 |
| 5 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:38 | 23 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 35:36 | 22 |
| 7 | Levadia U21 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 34:33 | 21 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd U21 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 34:41 | 19 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28:42 | 18 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:46 | 17 |