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Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Tallinna Kalev Logo

Tallinna Kalev

3 - 3
FT
Maardu Linnameeskond Logo

Maardu Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sikk A.
15' Event
Malinin V.
Assist: Kouadio E.
21' Event
Ilves R.
Assist: Petrunin D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Tallinna Kalev
20%
Draws
69%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maardu Linnameeskond lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Maardu Linnameeskond taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 12%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0
Aug 24, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:3
Jul 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
3:3
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1
Nov 21, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilves R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 10 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Maardu Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Maardu Linnameeskond conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Tallinna Kalev has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Maardu Linnameeskond
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)