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Tallinna Kalev W vs Elva W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Raja Jalgpallihall, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vilipuu A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Keps K. In: Vaher E.
Out: Keps K.
61'
Sub
Ahmedova S. In: Suup L.
Out: Ahmedova S.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Tallinna Kalev W and Elva W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tallinna Kalev W
15%
Draws
21%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tallinna Kalev W come out ahead of Elva W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tallinna Kalev W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tallinna Kalev W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tallinna Kalev W Clean Sheet 20%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev W Elva W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 2.1 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.77 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tallinna Kalev W
4:7
Aug 31, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Elva W
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tallinna Kalev W
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Elva W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmets L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Elva W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev W 85 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva W let in goals in 100% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.75 goals when they meet.

Tallinna Kalev W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Elva W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elva W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev W

(Home)
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
04 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
0 : 1
Viimsi JK W
01 Nov
Saku Sporting W
4 : 0
Tallinna Kalev W
19 Oct
Elva W
4 : 7
Tallinna Kalev W
14 Oct
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 6
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)