Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025

Talsi

1 - 5

Aliance

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Maulins R.

34'

Kristsons E.

43'

Mukins V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Aliance advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Talsi

15%

Draws

85%

Aliance

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Aliance carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Aliance's way, sitting at 90%.
Aliance arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aliance, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 93%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Talsi Clean Sheet 10%

Aliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Talsi	Aliance
Matches Played	3	18
Wins	0	7
Draws	0	0
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	2.33	3.06
Goals Conceded	4.67	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.60	2.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2025 Latvian Cup

Talsi vs Aliance

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Talsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukins V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2

Avg xA / game 1.3

Aliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Teters R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Maulins R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.64

Avg xA / game 1.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Talsi 10 / 100

Aliance 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Talsi Aliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Talsi scored in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Defensive concern: Aliance conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Away concern: Aliance has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Talsi VS Aliance

2.33 Goals Scored 1.13

4.67 Goals Conceded 2.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 88%

100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Talsi

(Home)

05 May

Talsi

1 : 5

Aliance

18 May

Talsi

3 : 4

Kekava-Auda

04 Jul

Marupe

5 : 3

Talsi

Aliance

(Away)

19 Jun

Marupe

4 : 2

Aliance

30 May

Valka

1 : 5

Aliance

31 May

Aliance

0 : 6

JFK Ventspils

17 May

Valka

1 : 9

Aliance

05 May

Talsi

1 : 5

Aliance

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Riga United -

TBD -

SK Babite -

Iecava -

TBD -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani -

TBD -

JFC Viola -

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 8

FK Limbazi 0

TBD -

FK Cesis -

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Namejs -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU -

TBD -

LSPA -

Kuldigas/Goldingen -

TBD -

Salaspils FK -

Dienvidkurzemes -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava -

TBD -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Talsi 1

Aliance 5

TBD -

Valka -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/64-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 4

FK Alberts 3

Riga United 6

SK Babite 0

Iecava 1

Kekava-Auda 2

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 4

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

Skanste -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

Upesciema Warriors 5

TBD -

Riga Mariners -

Valmiera 6

FK Cesis 0

TBD -

Ogre United -

Plavinas 4

Namejs 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 8

Bauskas / Memele 0

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Augsdaugavas -

RSU 5

LSPA 1

Kuldigas/Goldingen 2

Salaspils FK 3

Dienvidkurzemes 3

DSVK Traktors 0

TBD -

Leevon PPK -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 5

Lielupe 0

TBD -

Rezekne -

Aliance 9

Valka 1

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/32-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Speks 0

Riga United 3

Kekava-Auda 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Livani 0

Skanste 5

Alberts JDFS 5

FK Smiltene 3

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Upesciema Warriors 0

Riga Mariners 3

Valmiera 4

Ogre United 3

Plavinas 3

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

AFA Olaine 3

Augsdaugavas 1

RSU 0

Salaspils FK 6

Dienvidkurzemes 1

Leevon PPK 2

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 4

Rezekne 0

Aliance 0

JFK Ventspils 6

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/16-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Riga United 0

Marupe 3

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK Auda Riga -

TBD -

Grobina -

Skanste 1

Alberts JDFS 2

TBD -

Super Nova -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Riga Mariners 4

Valmiera 3

Plavinas 3

AFA Olaine 5

Salaspils FK 4

Leevon PPK 5

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

FK Union / JFK Daugava 1

JFK Ventspils 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

1/8-finals

Jelgava 0

RFS 1

Marupe 1

FK Metta 4

FK Auda Riga 1

Grobina 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Super Nova 3

Riga FC 4

Tukums 2000 0

Riga Mariners 6

AFA Olaine 1

Leevon PPK 2

BFC Daugavpils 4

JFK Ventspils 0

FK Liepaja 2

Quarter-finals

RFS 3

FK Metta 2

FK Auda Riga 3

Super Nova 1

Riga FC 10

Riga Mariners 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Liepaja 2

Semi-finals

RFS 0

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 0

Final

FK Auda Riga 2

Riga FC 1

Talsi vs Aliance

Latvia

Talsi

Aliance

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Talsi Compare

Aliance Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Talsi

Aliance

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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